tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:21 BOS → 13:50 JFK
    AA 4366 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:42 JFK → 17:44 DFW
    AA 1953 · American · 4h 02m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 23mBOS 12:21 to DFW 17:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.