tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Boston: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:09 LGA → 16:35 BOS
    AA 4370 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:33 BOS → 20:55 LAX
    AA 1578 · American · 6h 22m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 46mLGA 15:09 to LAX 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.