tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Norfolk via Washington: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:08 BNA → 20:01 DCA
    AA 4374 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 53m · 73% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:47 DCA → 21:53 ORF
    AA 5662 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 05m · 59% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 44mBNA 17:08 to ORF 21:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.