tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:08 BNA → 20:01 DCA
    AA 4374 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 53m · 73% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DCA → 22:41 MEM
    AA 4681 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 69% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 23mBNA 17:08 to MEM 22:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.