Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Madison via Boston: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:59 LGA → 19:23 BOS
    AA 4374 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 73% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:23 BOS → 22:10 MSN
    AA 4692 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 47m · 63% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 11mLGA 17:59 to MSN 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.