tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Madison via New York: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:05 BOS → 15:30 LGA
    AA 4375 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 68% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 LGA → 19:39 MSN
    AA 4593 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 43m · 73% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 34mBOS 14:05 to MSN 19:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.