tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:09 PWM → 08:20 ORD
    AA 4391 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 11m · 84% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:03 ORD → 13:26 LGA
    UA 669 · United · 2h 23m · 82% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 17mPWM 06:09 to LGA 13:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.