tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:09 PWM → 08:20 ORD
    AA 4391 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 11m · 84% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ORD → 14:38 JFK
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 29mPWM 06:09 to JFK 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.