tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 08:20 LGA
    AA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 21m · 88% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:18 LGA → 13:50 BUF
    DL 5362 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 33m · 80% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 52mDCA 06:59 to BUF 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.