tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Sarasota/Bradenton via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 08:20 LGA
    AA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 21m · 88% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:28 LGA → 13:33 SRQ
    DL 2412 · Delta · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 8.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (8.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 35mDCA 06:59 to SRQ 13:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.