tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Louisville via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 08:20 LGA
    AA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 21m · 88% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 LGA → 13:32 SDF
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 27m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 33mDCA 06:59 to SDF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.