Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Traverse City via Washington: arrives on time 54%
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09:03 LGA → 10:32 DCAAA 4393 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 2.3% cancelled
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48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:20 DCA → 13:27 TVCAA 4138 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 24mLGA 09:03 to TVC 13:27, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.