tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Martha's Vineyard via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:02 BOS → 08:28 LGA
    AA 4396 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 26m · 92% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:07 LGA → 13:21 MVY
    AA 4570 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 14m · 90% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 19mBOS 07:02 to MVY 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.