tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Columbus: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:45 LGA → 08:39 CMH
    AA 4398 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:22 CMH → 11:00 ORD
    AA 4953 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 16mLGA 06:45 to ORD 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.