tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:01 BOS → 07:30 JFK
    AA 4401 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 29m · 97% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:50 JFK → 11:27 ORF
    DL 5370 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 37m · 84% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 26mBOS 06:01 to ORF 11:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.