Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → New York via Washington: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:15 CMH → 13:43 DCA
    AA 4405 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 28m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:56 DCA → 16:33 LGA
    AA 4773 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 64% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 15mCMH 12:15 to LGA 16:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.