tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Detroit via Indianapolis: arrives on time 91%

  1. 11:59 DCA → 13:56 IND
    AA 4407 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 57m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:00 IND → 17:19 DTW
    DL 5846 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 21mDCA 11:59 to DTW 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.