tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Valparaiso via Hebron: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 10:56 CVG
    AA 4408 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:21 CVG → 14:11 VPS
    G4 373 · Allegiant · 1h 49m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 30mJFK 08:40 to VPS 14:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.