tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Charlotte via Hebron: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:40 JFK → 10:56 CVG
    AA 4408 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 16m · 81% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:48 CVG → 15:30 CLT
    AA 5202 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 42m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 50mJFK 08:40 to CLT 15:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.