tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:44 SDF → 07:30 ORD
    AA 4413 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 ORD → 12:43 MIA
    AA 1250 · American · 3h 15m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 01mSDF 06:44 to MIA 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.