tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:44 SDF → 07:30 ORD
    AA 4413 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 93% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 13:21 TPA
    AA 2920 · American · 2h 51m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 37mSDF 06:44 to TPA 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.