tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Kansas City via Detroit: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:10 LGA → 10:09 DTW
    AA 4415 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 05m · 87% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 DTW → 13:24 MCI
    DL 2741 · Delta · 2h 00m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 15mLGA 08:10 to MCI 13:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.