tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:18 EYW → 15:17 DCA
    AA 4416 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 00m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:25 DCA → 20:30 ATL
    DL 850 · Delta · 2h 05m · 68% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 12mEYW 12:18 to ATL 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.