tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Chicago via Pittsburgh: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:00 LGA → 08:38 PIT
    AA 4420 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 79% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Pittsburgh (PIT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:43 PIT → 12:38 ORD
    AA 4478 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 89% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 38mLGA 07:00 to ORD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.