tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Washington via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:24 LGA
    AA 4424 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 92% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 23m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 158 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 23m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 17mBOS 06:00 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.