tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Louisville via New York: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 BOS → 07:24 LGA
    AA 4424 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 92% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 LGA → 13:32 SDF
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 27m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 32mBOS 06:00 to SDF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.