tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:02 IAH → 20:24 ORD
    AA 4426 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 22m · 77% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 ORD → 00:36 GRR +1 day
    AA 1096 · American · 1h 04m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 34mIAH 17:02 to GRR 00:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.