tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → El Paso via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:02 IAH → 20:24 ORD
    AA 4426 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 22m · 77% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:46 ELP
    AA 3895 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 26m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 44mIAH 17:02 to ELP 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.