tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Wichita via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:02 IAH → 20:24 ORD
    AA 4426 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 22m · 77% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 ORD → 23:18 ICT
    AA 3913 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 19mIAH 17:02 to ICT 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.