tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 21:14 CMH → 21:44 ORD
    AA 4430 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 ORD → 00:52 LAX +1 day
    AA 1209 · American · 4h 22m · 53% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 38mCMH 21:14 to LAX 00:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.