tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hyannis → Washington via Philadelphia: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:45 HYA → 14:19 PHL
    AA 4430 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 PHL → 16:44 DCA
    AA 5636 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 15m · 43% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip3h 59mHYA 12:45 to DCA 16:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.