tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Indianapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:45 ORD → 09:01 IND
    AA 4439 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 16m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:28 IND → 14:49 JFK
    AA 4592 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 82% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 04mORD 06:45 to JFK 14:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.