tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Charlotte via Boston: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:14 BUF → 17:52 BOS
    AA 4440 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 69% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:56 BOS → 21:34 CLT
    AA 1552 · American · 2h 39m · 66% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 21mBUF 16:14 to CLT 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.