tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jackson via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:10 MSP → 08:05 ORD
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 93% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:36 ORD → 12:00 JAC
    AA 3331 · American · 3h 24m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 50mMSP 06:10 to JAC 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.