tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:10 MSP → 08:05 ORD
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 93% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 13:01 PVD
    AA 3453 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 97% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip5h 51mMSP 06:10 to PVD 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.