tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Missoula via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:10 MSP → 08:05 ORD
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 93% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:51 ORD → 12:45 MSO
    AA 3718 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 52m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 33mMSP 06:10 to MSO 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.