tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:10 MSP → 08:05 ORD
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 93% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:41 XNA
    AA 3848 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 31mMSP 06:10 to XNA 13:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.