tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:10 MSP → 08:05 ORD
    AA 4444 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 93% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:30 TYS
    AA 5014 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 50m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 20mMSP 06:10 to TYS 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.