Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → San Francisco via Chicago: arrives on time 37%
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07:57 JFK → 10:05 ORDAA 4450 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 08m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:04 ORD → 13:45 SFOAA 2550 · American · 4h 41m · 41% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip8h 48mJFK 07:57 to SFO 13:45, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.