tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:57 JFK → 10:05 ORD
    AA 4450 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 08m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 ORD → 17:11 PVD
    AA 3771 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 13mJFK 07:57 to PVD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.