tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Miami via New York: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:07 RIC → 07:29 LGA
    AA 4451 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 22m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:28 LGA → 12:45 MIA
    AA 3211 · American · 3h 17m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 38mRIC 06:07 to MIA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.