tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Miami via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:07 RIC → 07:29 LGA
    AA 4451 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 22m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:15 LGA → 14:24 MIA
    DL 1538 · Delta · 3h 09m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 17mRIC 06:07 to MIA 14:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.