tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Denver via New York: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:07 RIC → 07:29 LGA
    AA 4451 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 22m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 LGA → 12:20 DEN
    UA 716 · United · 4h 20m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 13mRIC 06:07 to DEN 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.