tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:07 RIC → 07:29 LGA
    AA 4451 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 22m · 85% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in New York (LGA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:55 LGA → 12:15 MDW
    WN 4573 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 08mRIC 06:07 to MDW 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.