tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:09 IND → 19:09 DCA
    AA 4452 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 71% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DCA → 22:03 ATL
    AA 5502 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 02m · 60% on time, 18.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (18.3% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 52mIND 17:09 to ATL 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.