tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Kansas City via Washington: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:09 IND → 19:09 DCA
    AA 4452 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 71% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 DCA → 22:14 MCI
    AA 5660 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 56m · 55% on time, 13.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (13.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 05mIND 17:09 to MCI 22:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.