tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → Seattle via Philadelphia: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:21 OMA → 17:17 PHL
    AA 4455 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 56m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 PHL → 21:35 SEA
    AA 2522 · American · 6h 14m · 54% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Omaha). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip10h 14mOMA 13:21 to SEA 21:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.