tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Los Angeles via Philadelphia: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:02 DSM → 09:44 PHL
    AA 4463 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 42m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 PHL → 13:46 LAX
    AA 2408 · American · 5h 46m · 83% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 44mDSM 06:02 to LAX 13:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.