tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:02 DSM → 09:44 PHL
    AA 4463 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 42m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:02 PHL → 13:38 DFW
    AA 417 · American · 3h 36m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 36mDSM 06:02 to DFW 13:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.