tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:02 DSM → 09:44 PHL
    AA 4463 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 42m · 86% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:22 PHL → 12:32 MDW
    WN 3224 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 88% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 30mDSM 06:02 to MDW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.